24-25

Light red lines indicate crown faces of this natural avalanche. It likely started as a wind slab/storm slab above the rocks, then dropped down onto the slope below triggering a storm slab avalanche that entrained a significant amount of snow and created a big debris pile.

Island Park, 2025-03-15

Island Park

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

We rode to the top of Sawtelle to de-rime the anemometer (wind sensor) and then down into Rock Creek Basin under all the big north facing avalanche paths.

Key findings:

  1. New snow amounts ranged from 6-8" at lower elevations and 18" at higher elevations
  2. We did not observe any cracking or collapsing on non wind loaded slopes.
  3. We observed two very recent natural storm slab avalanches about a 1.5 feet deep. One of them entrained a significant amount of snow an ran a long ways.
  4. There has been minimal wind effect except at ridgetops
  5. Extended Column tests on north facing slopes continuously broke and propagated after 12 taps (ECTP12) just under a soft crust in snow that fell last weekend. These appeared to be breaking on broken stellars/snowflakes. On other aspects, the crust was much thicker and harder.

Conclusions:

The likelihood of triggering a soft slab avalanche about 1.5' deep seemed low on non-wind loaded slopes. Any amount of wind affecting a slope whether loading a slope or just stiffening the new snow, dramatically increased the odds of triggering a slide. We felt comfortable riding in avalanche runout zones and even climbing into the paths some. The main strategy was to stay out of the upper starting zones that are steeper and have seen some wind. HOWEVER - we carefully limited our exposure in big runout zones where a falling cornice could have triggered a slide that could have crashed down onto us. We did not think that we would trigger an avalanche from below  

Looking ahead  - Strong winds Sunday through Monday will have plenty of snow to transport along with additional snow that will fall. This should increase the danger and the size of possible avalanches.

Region
Island Park
Location (from list)
CENTENNIAL RANGE
Observer Name
Staples, Searle, Case

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Mar 15, 2025

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Avalanches involving the recent snow are possible for a person to trigger. The main concern is </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>wind slab avalanches </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>breaking 6 inches to 2 feet deep where the new snow is drifted into thicker or stiffer slabs. Yesterday the wind was calm, so if the wind increases today there is still plenty of soft snow to be drifted into fresh, reactive wind slabs.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Yesterday, near Cooke City there were a handful of small avalanches (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34584"><span><span><span><strong><span…;), and in the Centennials near Island Park Mark saw a larger avalanche that broke on or under a crust below the new snow (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ziK29iO3zQ&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvToI_ir…;). These occurred where there was just the slightest bit of wind to stiffen the snow surface. Avoid wind-loaded slopes near ridgelines to minimize the chances of triggering an avalanche. Watch for snow blowing off ridges, and look for cracking around your skis as signs of fresh wind slabs.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><strong><span><span>Loose snow avalanches, </span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>dry or wet, are also possible and can easily run long distances on the crust below the new snow (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6pLrdFVFpdE&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvToI_ir…;. These will be small and somewhat predictable, but could be dangerous if they drag you into rocks, trees or over a cliff. If the sun shines it may quickly soften the snow surface and increase the chance of wet loose slides on sunny slopes.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>In the southern Madison and southern Gallatin ranges and near West Yellowstone, the weak snow that was buried in late January can produce deeper </span></span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><strong><span><span>persistent slab avalanches</span></span></strong></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span><span>. <strong>Yesterday in the Taylor Fork a snowmobiler triggered a 4 foot deep slide in an isolated short, steep pocket of snow</strong> (</span></span></span></span></span></span><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/34599"><span><span><span><strong><span… and observation</span></span></u></span></strong></span></span></span></a><span><span><span><span><span><span>). This underscores the importance of only exposing one person at a time to steep slopes, and carrying proper avalanche rescue gear (transceiver, shovel and probe). These types of slides have become increasingly less frequent, but we could see more with the added weight of new snow over the next few days.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

<p><span><span><span><span><span><span>Today the avalanche danger is MODERATE across the forecast area.</span></span></span></span></span></span></p>

Snowmobiler triggered 3 foot deep slide Sunlight Basin

Taylor Fork
Southern Madison
Code
HS-AMu-R2-D2-O
Elevation
8800
Aspect
NW
Latitude
44.97720
Longitude
-111.28600
Notes

A group of riders saw Mark at the gas station and shared that they had triggered a 4' deep slide in a small pocket in Sunlight Basin of the Taylor Fork area. It was in an area with a relatively shallower snowpack, and broke on weak snow near the bottom of the snowpack. The rider that triggered it was going uphill and got stuck shortly after and noted the snowpack was much deeper there.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Hard slab avalanche
Trigger
Snowmobile
Trigger Modifier
u-An unintentional release
R size
2
D size
2
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Slab
Slab Thickness
36.0 inches
Vertical Fall
100ft
Slab Width
50.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

On Mar 14 A group of riders shared that they had triggered a 4' deep slide in a small pocket in Sunlight Basin of the Taylor Fork area. It was in an area with a relatively shallower snowpack, and broke on weak snow near the bottom of the snowpack. The rider that triggered it was going uphill and got stuck shortly after and noted the snowpack was much deeper there.

Southern Madison, 2025-03-15

Snowmobiler triggered 4 foot deep slide Sunlight Basin

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

A group of riders saw Mark at the gas station and shared that they had triggered a 4' deep slide in a small pocket in Sunlight Basin of the Taylor Fork area. It was in an area with a relatively shallower snowpack, and broke on weak snow near the bottom of the snowpack. The rider that triggered it was going uphill and got stuck shortly after and noted the snowpack was much deeper there.

Region
Southern Madison
Location (from list)
Taylor Fork

small dry loose slides north of Cooke

Crown Butte
Cooke City
Code
L-N-R1-D1-S
Elevation
9500
Aspect
S
Aspect Range
S, NE
Latitude
45.05250
Longitude
-109.96200
Notes

There was a small natural dry loose on south face of Crown Butte and I triggered a dry loose slide on a test slope near the ridge on Miller ridge (video).

Number of slides
2
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Bed Surface
S - Avalanche released within new snow
Problem Type
Loose Dry
Slab Thickness
5.0 inches
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year