23-24

Rider Triggered Avalanche in Island Park

CENTENNIAL RANGE
Island Park
Code
HS-AM-R3-D1.5-O
Elevation
9100
Aspect
NE
Latitude
44.54890
Longitude
-111.73100
Notes

A rider triggered avalanche was observed on 02/08/2024. 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Hard slab avalanche
Trigger
Snowmobile
R size
3
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness
30.0 centimeters
Vertical Fall
50ft
Slab Width
100.00ft
Weak Layer Grain type
Depth Hoar
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Recent Avalanches and New Snow

Date
Activity
Snowmobiling

We rode into Yale Creek today. At the head of the creek, we stopped and dug on a south-facing slope at 9000'. We found 30" of new snow that has fallen over the last week on top of an already unstable snowpack. From here we continued up Yale Creek and on a small NE-facing slope, we saw an avalanche that was triggered by snowmobilers within the last couple of days. This avalanche was 2-3' deep and 100 feet wide and failed on weak faceted snow near the ground. It did not run far vertically because it was such a small slope. We dug near here on a SE facing slope and saw a similar setup as earlier with 30"+ of new snow overlaying weak snow. 

On our way out, we saw a small freshly triggered avalanche. This was in a small gully and failed on weak snow near the ground 1-2' deep. With poor visibility, we did not get an opportunity to see any avalanches on larger slopes. However, seeing avalanches on small protected slopes is a good indicator that there are likely avalanches on larger steep slopes we could not see. 

Wind was calm to light out of the south and snow continued through the day, with 1-2" of snow falling while we rode. 

Region
Island Park
Location (from list)
Yale Creek
Observer Name
Zach Peterson

Blackmore obs

Date
Activity
Skiing

Dug a very quick pit on a SE slope at 9600ft HS 90 cm. Boot pen to the ground. SKY OVC. Wind L. 

Visibility was minimal, but I observed no signs of significant, recent wind loading. With that said there is a ~5-8 cm (small) 1F wind slab under ~5cm of + at the top of the snowpack and above the Jan. crust.

ECTN26 below the Jan. crust

PST 30/100 End on 2-3mm facets down ~50cm (below the jan crust)

Where the crust exist, it may be ever so slightly harder to impact these deeper, weaker layers, but I would certainly not place any faith in it especially with spacial variability and change in aspect/elevation.

After doing the ECT and not observing any propagation. I pulled the block off with my shovel and it broke deeper (Q1/2) on the same facets I performed the PST on. 

I dug in this same meadow earlier in the winter. Basal facets/ depth hoar have advanced significantly. I didn't put them on a card,but striations were visible to the naked eye.

This snowpack has a lot going on in  it, but strength is certainly not one of them. Out of the entire snowpack maybe only 10-15cm of snow had hand hardness greater than 4F+.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Mt Blackmore

Shooting Cracks Beehive Basin

Beehive Basin
Northern Madison
Code
Latitude
45.32040
Longitude
-111.38700
Notes

Cracking about 20ft long observed during our tour when crossing over a gully/stream at 35 degree slope angle. Crust about 25-30 centimeters below soft snow showed instability along with the faceted base toward the bottom of the snowpack.

Number of slides
0
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Red Flag
Advisory Year

Beehive Basin Persistent Layer Observed in CT

Date
Activity
Skiing

Cracking about 20ft long observed during our tour when crossing over a gully/stream at 35 degree slope angle. Crust about 25-30 centimeters below soft snow showed instability along with the faceted base toward the bottom of the snowpack.

Region
Northern Madison
Location (from list)
Beehive Basin
Observer Name
John Emmett; Jamie McCready

Natural avalanche on East Henderson

Henderson Mountain
Cooke City
Code
Latitude
45.05240
Longitude
-109.94500
Notes

Natural avalanche on East Side of Henderson Mtn. seen late on 2/7/24. South of the two that Doug saw last week, along the ridge. Could have happened yesterday or last night. I didn’t see it yesterday when riding up and down Fisher creek, but visibility was mediocre. The debris and bed had at least some new snow on it.

Also had a large rumbling collapse near 10,000’ west facing when following one skiers old skin track. And had a few large collapses on south facing slopes between 8,000-9000’. 

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Snow Observation Source
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Natural avalanche on East Side of Henderson Mtn. seen late on 2/7/24. South of the two that Doug saw last week, along the ridge. Could have happened yesterday or last night. I didn’t see it yesterday when riding up and down Fisher creek, but visibility was mediocre. The debris and bed had at least some new snow on it. Photo: GNFAC

Cooke City, 2024-02-08

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Thu Feb 8, 2024

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Very dangerous avalanche conditions exist in the Southern Madison, Southern Gallatin, and Centennial Ranges, as well as the Lionhead area near West Yellowstone. An avalanche warning is in place, and human-triggered avalanches are very likely.</p>

<p>Since Saturday, three feet of snow fell in the Centennial Mountains of Island Park, equal to 3.3” of <a href="https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encyclopedia/snowpack/snowpack-observat… water equivalent</span></a> (SWE). In the same period, nearly two feet of snow, equal to 1.8-2.2” of SWE, fell south of Big Sky through the Lionhead area. Our extraordinarily weak snowpack is failing to bear the weight of this new snow and is avalanching. Yesterday, snowmobilers in Tepee Basin triggered an avalanche from a distance away that broke 4 feet deep and one mile wide. Groups in the area confirmed that all parties were accounted for (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30547"><strong><span>detail and video</span></strong></a>). At Bacon Rind on Monday, Doug and I watched trees shake and drop snow off their branches as we triggered collapse after collapse, carefully sticking to terrain not steep enough to slide (<a href="https://youtu.be/zcBGHzPcXtw"><strong><span>video</span></strong></a&gt; and <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30508"><strong><span>observation</span…;).</p>

<p>As I said in my <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=anFRhaWfqTQ"><span>video</span></a&gt; from the Taylor Fork yesterday, enjoy the fresh snow from the relative safety of slopes less than 30 degrees without steeper terrain above or nearby. <em>Do not go onto slopes steep enough to avalanche or into runout zones</em>.</p>

<p>The avalanche danger is HIGH.</p>

<p>Dangerous avalanche conditions exist in the mountains around Bozeman, Big Sky, and Cooke City. Incremental loading continued with 1-2” of snow yesterday and storm totals of 11-15” since Friday, equal to 1.0-1.3” of <a href="https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encyclopedia/snowpack/snowpack-observat… water equivalent</span></a>. New and wind-drifted snow is adding stress to persistent weak layers buried 1-3 feet deep.</p>

<p>Avalanche activity and recent red flags of instability indicate that human-triggered avalanches are likely on slopes steep enough to slide. Yesterday, there was a natural avalanche on the east side of Henderson Mountain, and a group of skiers on the south side of Henderson triggered “at least 20 collapses” or whumphs (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30553"><strong><span>details and photo</span></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30546"><strong><span>observation</span…;). A group in the Northern Gallatin Range skied across a slope that collapsed and cracked but remained in place (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30542"><strong><span>observation</span…;). Avalanches earlier this week in <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30495"><strong><span>Beehive Basin</span></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30517"><strong><span>Bridger Range</span></strong></a>, and east of <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30537"><strong><span>Cooke City</span></strong></a> are all indicative of our weak snowpack’s capacity for avalanching. Alex explained Cooke City’s dangerous snowpack in his videos earlier this week (<a href="https://youtube.com/shorts/c7XwPvZ93ZU?feature=share"><strong><span>vid… 1</span></strong></a>, <a href="https://youtube.com/shorts/uJXOKijsY38?feature=share"><strong><span>vid… 2</span></strong></a>), and Doug discussed how the size of potential avalanches increased with new snow from Beehive Basin (<a href="https://youtube.com/shorts/doG4m6lbQqY?feature=share"><strong><span>vid…; and <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30528"><strong><span>observation</span…;).</p>

<p>Conservative decision-making and cautious route-finding that largely avoids travel in avalanche terrain and runout zones are essential to returning home safely.</p>

<p>The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE.</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.

Every weekend in Cooke City: Friday at The Antlers at 7 p.m., Free Avalanche Awareness and Current Conditions talk, and Saturday from 10 a.m.-2 p.m. at Round Lake Warming Hut, Free Rescue Practice.