18-19
Snow water equivalent at SNOTEL stations in the GNFAC advisory areas for the 18-19 season to date. Weak layers formed on the surface of the snowpack during the dry weather (flat section of lines), then they were buried by the recent 10-14" of snow (steep increase at end of graph). Image: GNFAC
New snow avalanche near Mt. Blackmore
Skiers saw this natural avalanche near Mt. Blackmore on Saturday (11/24). Almost a foot of new snow fell and buried weak snow that formed on the surface of the snowpack during cold and dry weather. Be cautious of avalanches breaking at this weak interface for a few days and with the next storm. Photo: M. Staples
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Wed Nov 28, 2018
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Nov 24, 2018
<p>The snowpack in the mountains is 3-4 feet deep near Bozeman, Big Sky and Cooke City, and 1-2 feet near West Yellowstone. Generally cold and dry weather since early November created a weak layer on the surface that is now buried below the last couple day’s snowfall. On Wednesday, Doug and I found this weak snow near Cooke City (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M8ocv28K8eU">video</a></strong></u><u><…; <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/18/weak-surface-snow">photo</a></str…;) and Eric found it in Hyalite (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0qvNwadm7Y&list=PLXu5151nmAvRNl9ku…;). Where the snowpack is deeper, it is mostly strong and supportable below this weak layer.</p>
<p>A few inches of snow and strong wind on Thursday was enough to form unstable conditions between the new snow and old, weak snow surface. The Big Sky ski patrol saw natural and human triggered avalanches during control work, and a skier in Hyalite reported natural avalanches that likely occurred Thursday (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/photos">photo</a></strong></u>). More snow and strong wind today will rapidly add weight to now buried weak layers. Natural avalanches are possible as snowfall continues, and avalanches will be easy to trigger where snow is drifted into thick slabs near ridgelines and along edges of gullies.</p>
<p>Be extra cautious today and avoid avalanche terrain. This includes lower angle terrain connected to steep slopes above. The snowpack has been fairly stable and trustworthy this season, but that may change quickly. Resist an urge to ride steep slopes based on previous stable snowpack data. Rapid loading today is a clear sign of decreasing stability. The best defense against avalanches today is conservative, low angle terrain selection.</p>
<p>New this season, we added hyperlinks to the <u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log">Weather and Avalanche Log</a></strong></u> and a new Menu item <<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity">Avalanches and SnowPits</a></strong></u>> with information on avalanche activity and incidents.</p>
<p>If you get out and have any avalanche or snowpack observations to share, contact us via our <u><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">website</a></u>, email (<u><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></u>), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.