20-21

Mt Blackmore

Date
Activity
Skiing

Skied Mt Blackmore this morning. Very windy up in the basin, but calm along the ridgeline. Lots of signs of wind-loading and drifting on most slopes.

I felt/heard 3 collapses while ascending the trees up to the east ridge. Saw a debris pile on the N face, likely from a cornice fall in the last 24hrs. Stayed low angle in the trees on the way down, and triggered a few 1-2" thick wind slabs on isolated features while skiing out of the basin.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Mt Blackmore
Observer Name
Mike Lavery

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Jan 3, 2021

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Today strong wind creates dangerous avalanche conditions on wind-loaded slopes in the mountains near Bozeman, Big Sky and West Yellowstone. The snowpack has widespread buried layers of weak, sugary facets which have struggled to hold the weight of overlying slabs. Yesterday I saw this unstable snowpack in the Bridger Range near two recent skier triggered avalanches on Saddle Peak (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ihnOqeMkLc&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvQDzKmH…;). These avalanches and reports of large collapses in Hyalite, near Big Sky, West Yellowstone and everywhere in-between (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity">activity log</a></strong>) are warning us that large avalanches are possible to trigger on steep slopes. Strong southwest-west wind will grow fresh drifts and push these weak layers closer to breaking today. Today avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on wind-loaded slopes and MODERATE on non-wind loaded slopes. Avoid steep wind-loaded slopes, and carefully assess the snowpack for buried weak layers before riding or crossing any steep slope.</p>

<p>Near Cooke City, today the main concern is where moderate to strong southwest-west winds drifted snow into fresh slabs. Yesterday on Abiathar Peak, adjacent to our advisory area, skiers triggered a couple wind slabs that caught them off guard and they felt lucky to escape (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23512">photo and details</a></strong>). Today these slabs will grow thicker and are large enough to be harmful or deadly.</p>

<p>The snowpack near Cooke City is deeper and generally lacks widespread buried weak layers compared to the rest of our advisory area. However, weak snow exists in isolated areas. A skier triggered avalanche yesterday in Yellowstone National Park (immediately outside the advisory area) (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23505">photo and details</a></strong>) and a snowmobile triggered avalanche last Wednesday on Crown Butte are examples of these instabilities (<a href="https://youtu.be/UEY5A4YXibg"><strong>video</strong></a&gt;).</p>

<p>Today, freshly drifted snow makes avalanches possible on wind-loaded slopes where avalanche danger is MODERATE. Avalanche danger is LOW on non-wind loaded slopes. Be extra cautious of steep wind loaded slopes, and dig down a few feet to assess the snowpack for buried weak layers.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong>website<…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong>mtavalanche@gmail.com</strong></a…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

See our education calendar for an up to date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events and opportunities to check out:

Skier triggered 2 wind slabs on Abiathar

Abiathar Peak
Out of Advisory Area
Code
SS-ASu-R2-D1.5-I
Elevation
10500
Aspect
N
Latitude
44.97560
Longitude
-110.03100
Notes

Skiers triggered a wind slab while ascending the north couloir on Abiathar Peak on 1/2/21. On their descent they triggered another similar sized slab. They were not caught or injured, and felt lucky to "dodge a bullet". 

From email: "We approached Abiathar north cirque intending to climb and ski the north couloir. Two extended column tests were performed and it was determined that the main threat was new snow on shallow facets... At approx 10,500' the first member of our party released the first slab, so we pulled the plug and began to prepare for descent. Upon descent, I dropped first and faded left to eddy out behind a rock outcrop and released the second slab, which broke just upslope of me. I was able to edge into the bed surface and the slab ran past without incident."

Number of slides
2
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
u-An unintentional release
R size
2
D size
1.5
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness
10.0 inches
Slab Width
15.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Multiple Avalanches
Advisory Year

Flanders Peak, Hyalite

Date
Activity
Skiing

This morning I was ascending Flanders Peak via the southeast trees. At approximately 10:30AM, 9500 feet elevation, we dug a pit (photo attached) and was surprised to get a ECTN. However, we did make notes of a buried solar crust between 51-60cm (1F) and a basal crust (P) on the first 5cm of the pit with the same large, sugary facets we've seen all over the Bozeman area sandwiched in between these two layers that supported our plan to stick to low angle slopes. At approximately 1:30PM, on our second lap of the south-southeast bowl of Flanders Peak, I was skinning behind my friend who was putting in a new ascent track when we both heard a large "whump" and a 15 foot crack shot out from under his skis. I also witnessed him drop several inches from the large collapse in the snow. We were on a very low angle slope (less than 25 degrees) at approximately 9700 feet, in wide open trees right at the edge of tree-line and the alpine. We noticed no other signs of instability in the bowl we skied, or on the wind-loaded ridge. We decided to not keep lapping the bowl after this happened but instead skied back to the car.

Region
Northern Gallatin
Location (from list)
Flanders Creek
Observer Name
Laura Ippolito

Skiers triggered this slab while ascending the north couloir on Abiathar Peak on 1/2/21. On their descent they triggered another similar sized slab. They were not caught or injured, and felt lucky to dodge a bullet. 

Out of Advisory Area, 2021-01-02

Widespread whumphing near Hebgen Lake

Hebgen Lake
Southern Madison
Code
Elevation
9000
Aspect
E
Latitude
44.83810
Longitude
-111.34300
Notes

From obs: "Skied the west side of Hebgen Lake today... Experienced widespread whumpfing and shooting cracks on east facing terrain from Lake to over 9000 ft. Dug a pit at 8300 ft. Very weak snow with little structure, but the midpack had a distinct density change with 4F hardness. Large facets close to being depth hoar (~3mm) developing at ground. ECTP17 at the top of this basal layer. My friend also did a PST in a nearby pit and got propagation at 20cm/120cm on the same layer."

Number of slides
0
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Problem Type
Persistent Weak Layer
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Red Flag
Advisory Year

Crazies - West Slope

Date
Activity
Skiing

Quick observation from some exploratory skiing in the Crazies today. Toured in from Cottonwood Creek and followed a lower angle shoulder to gain the ridgeline between Pauline Creek and Little Cottonwood Creek. A bit schwacky down low and quite faceted. Found supportable skiing above ~7800' all the way up to the wind scoured ridgeline at 9300'. No recent avalanches, collapses, or cracking observed, aside from a couple of small predictable ~3" thick fresh wind slabs near the ridge top.

Temps hovered around 20F all day with moderate WNW winds that died after 1pm and variable cloud cover (overcast one minute and blue skies the next).

Snowpack was ~70cm deep (on average) and had 15cm of new/decomposing snow sitting on a mostly supportable 4F+ layer of rounds above a mix of F facets and a decomposing melt freeze crust. Quick pit @8350' SE 28* slope - ECTN10@55cm on hardness change (new snow) & ECTP14 (and ECTP21) @35cm on facets above the melt-freeze crust. To mitigate the persistent slab problem, we kept it low angle and avoided areas we predicted would harbor more cohesive/connected slabs.

Region
Out of Advisory Area
Observer Name
Zachary Stephen Miller