19-20
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Dec 22, 2019
<p>The mountains near Big Sky and West Yellowstone have a poor snowpack structure that contains buried surface hoar and weak, sugary snow on the ground. These buried weak layers make large avalanches possible to trigger. Yesterday skiers found these weak layers produced unstable test scores in Beehive (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/middle-basin-snowpit-21-dec">phot…;). On Thursday Ian went to Taylor Fork where he found improving stability, but the poor snowpack structure exists and makes it possible to trigger a large avalanche, despite less obvious signs of instability (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/user/AvalancheGuys/videos">video</a></strong></…;). Only ride steep slopes after careful terrain and snowpack assessment. Avoid complex terrain where an avalanche can have high consequences, and be extra cautious of heavily wind loaded slopes. Today human triggered avalanches are possible and danger is MODERATE.</p>
<p>In the mountains near Cooke City there is a weak layer of sugary snow in the middle of the snowpack that makes large avalanches possible to trigger (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/poor-snow-structure-near-cooke">p…;). Yesterday skiers south of Cooke City saw a recent natural avalanche that broke deep on this weak layer on a heavily wind loaded, northeast facing slope (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/large-natural-avalanche-near-cook…;). I found this poor snowpack structure on southerly aspects a couple days ago (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOUWPWg2J4A&list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;), but found a strong snowpack on northerly aspects. Before you leave home, look at recent photos, videos and avalanche activity on the <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/forecast/cooke-city">Cooke City regional page</a></strong> to see types of terrain to avoid. In the field, dig to assess the snow structure and stability on slopes similar to those you intend to ride. Avoid slopes where you find or suspect buried weak layers. Today large human triggered avalanches are possible and danger is MODERATE.</p>
<p>Yesterday in the northern Bridger Range and northern Gallatin Range riders triggered avalanches 3-5 feet deep on heavily wind loaded slopes (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/snowmobile-remote-triggered-avala…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/rider-triggered-slide-heavily-win…;). Extreme southwest winds yesterday loaded specific slopes and caused avalanches to break on weak layers deep in the snowpack. Near Bozeman the snowpack has become generally stable without new snow for the past six days, and buried weak layers have shown minimal signs of instability, but yesterday’s avalanches are evidence that southwest winds pushed specific slopes to break. Strong southwest wind is expected to continue today, and I do not trust heavily wind-loaded slopes where deeper avalanches can be triggered on buried weak layers (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g4BPe7ydpEU&list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf… Peak video</a></strong>). Avalanche danger is MODERATE on wind loaded slopes and LOW on non-wind loaded slopes.</p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out and plan to attend one or two: Events and Education Calendar.
BOZEMAN
Riders near Fairy Lake reported this slide on Saturday 12/21. Photo: @turbo_dieshall
From IG message: "5' thick wind slab just behind little bear remote triggered riding along the ridge." @skidooin_it
Near Cooke City, a poor snowpack structure has been found and produced avalanches on east, south and west aspects, and makes large avalanches possible to trigger. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Dec 22, 2019
Skiers saw this recent avalanche on 12/21 in Hayden Creek south of Cooke City. It is a ENE aspect at 9,800'. Photo: H. Coppolillo
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Dec 22, 2019GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Dec 23, 2019