19-20

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Wed Jan 1, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The southern mountains from Big Sky to West Yellowstone got 6-8” of snow measuring .6” of snow water equivalent (<strong><a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/or/snow/?cid=nrcs142p2…;). At the ground is a thick layer of unstable and sugary snow that will struggle to support the weight of today’s snowfall. Also, the new snow will not bond well to the old snow surface. Snowfall and strong wind are creating dangerous avalanche conditions. If you venture onto or underneath steep slopes <em>you are likely to trigger an avalanche</em>. For today the avalanche danger is rated CONSIDERABLE on all slopes.</p>

<p>The Bridger Range has 5” of new snow (.6” SWE) while the northern Gallatin and northern Madison Ranges received 3-4” (.3” SWE). Winds have been strong out of the west and gusting to 60 mph at the <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/stations/hyalite-weather-station">H… weather station</a>. The new snow will not adhere very well to the old snow surface (small, faceted grains and surface hoar). This was evident yesterday in Hyalite when skiers triggered a shallow wind slab from afar (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/skier-remotely-triggered-small-wi…;) and an ice climber got hit with a large loose snow avalanche (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/21405">details</a></strong&gt;). North of Bridger Bowl, Ian got cracks shooting out from his ski tips in wind-drifted snow (<strong><a href="https://youtu.be/Y3J2BztCbDc">video</a></strong&gt;). For today, new snow and wind are creating a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger on wind-loaded slopes. Slopes without a wind load will have a MODERATE danger. Avoid all slopes with wind-drifted snow and turn around if you see shooting cracks or avalanche activity.</p>

<p>The mountains around Cooke City have 3” of new snow and southwest wind blowing 10-25 mph. Snowfall and wind will continue today and slopes that are wind-loaded are the biggest concern. The new snow will not bond well to the old surface and this interface is where most avalanche activity will occur. Additionally, there is weak snow at the ground which will become increasingly stressed from the weight of today’s snow. Avalanches from Friday (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity">details</a></strong&gt;) and our field investigation on Sunday and Monday show the potential for deep avalanches that could be triggered from thinner areas of a slope (<strong><a href="https://youtu.be/INHkAhf3L5o">video</a></strong&gt; of recent activity on Henderson, <strong><a href="https://youtu.be/FAgWx6yXR2U">video</a&gt; </strong>of Mt. Abundance). For today, avoid slopes that have been recently wind-loaded and stick to lower angled terrain. &nbsp;The avalanche danger is rated CONSIDERABLE on wind-loaded slopes and MODERATE on all others.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an&nbsp;<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">observation form</a></strong></u>, email us (<u><strong><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></strong></u&gt;), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out and plan to attend one or two: Events and Education Calendar.

COOKE CITY

Every Friday and Saturday, Snowpack Update and Rescue Training. Friday, 6:30-7:30 p.m. at the Soda Butte Lodge. Saturday anytime between 10-2 @ Round Lake.

WEST YELLOWSTONE

Ice climber hit by loose snow avalanche on Killer Pillar, Hyalite

Flanders Creek
Northern Gallatin
Code
L-N
Aspect
NE
Latitude
45.44020
Longitude
-110.93100
Notes

From an email:

"Got hit by a pretty decent loose snow avalanche from above while topping out on Killer Piller up Flanders. Had a decent stance so I was able to hold on. Also observed more than a few coming down gullies on the other side of the drainage. It was lightly snowing all day and dead calm in the drainage, so presumably winds were cranking on the ridgetop."

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Loose-snow avalanche
Trigger
Natural trigger
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Skier remotely triggered a small wind slab up Hyalite

Maid of the Mist
Northern Gallatin
Code
SS-ASr-R0-D1-I
Latitude
45.41640
Longitude
-110.97000
Notes

From an email: "Remotely triggered this small wind slab while skinning into the Maid of the Mist basin. Throughout the day I continued to encounter other small, reactive wind slabs and strong winds."

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
r-A remote avalanche released by the indicated trigger
R size
0
D size
1
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

This small wind slab was remotely triggered while skinning into the Maid of the Mist basin. Throughout the day they continued to encounter other small, reactive wind slabs and strong winds. Small avalanches are a warning sign that larger ones are possible. Photo: Sam Wilson

Northern Gallatin, 2019-12-31